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The military campaigns pertaining to the Aemathien in the quatrains do not fit him very well though.
You can be sure that if there is a second Korean War involving the US, and possibly China and Russia and others, there will indeed be "a horrible loss" of "people and beasts." Then, five months later, a greater catastrophe of war and death will plague the Earth when "the comet will run" (Comet ISON).
The southern French city of "Marseilles" will "be tried": possibly by terrorism; possibly by a world war; and possibly by rioting and civil war if the Eurozone crisis deepens to such an extent that Europe undergoes a violent Euro Spring similar to the worst aspects of Arab Spring in Egypt, Libya, and Syria.
Meantime, "the West" (the United States and/or the United Kingdom) will be holding some sort of talks or negotiations.." That could have been the period between Good Friday and Easter, which is why I started and then stopped work on this article and this website.
France has been having a lot of trouble from Al Qaeda in North Africa of late.
Belgium is currently the seat of the European Union.
Also, a pope will be forced to flee the Vatican and Rome when a bright star blazes in the sky for seven days.